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What the first-round result meant for Ukraine's presidential race

Posted: | Filed under: Politics | by Borderland staff

An analysis of the outcome that set up a runoff between a television personality and the incumbent.

What did the first round of Ukraine's presidential election settle by 4 April 2019, and what did it leave open? The vote itself, held on 31 March, was reported on 3 April as a clear lead for Volodymyr Zelensky, who took 30 percent. President Petro Poroshenko came second with 15 percent. Turnout was 63 percent.

A runoff, not a verdict

No candidate reached the share needed to win the presidency outright, so the contest was not decided. A runoff between the top two was scheduled for 21 April. There were 39 candidates on the ballot, and the first round narrowed that field to two.

The size of the gap

The numbers made the first-round order plain. Zelensky's share was double the incumbent's. A sitting president finishing second, with half the leader's vote, was the central political fact of 4 April 2019. The turnout figure showed that a large part of the electorate had taken part before the runoff campaign began.

What followed

The result was later confirmed in the runoff on 21 April. The Central Election Commission announced that Zelensky won the second round with 73.22 percent of the total vote. The Organization for Security and Co-operation in Europe recognised the elections as free and fair. None of this was known on 4 April 2019, when the question was whether the incumbent could close a wide gap in under three weeks.


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